Probability of not drawing an element of a certain element in an “binomial drawing” experiment











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I randomly draw 3 elements from a population of 100. What is the probability of a certain element in my whole population NOT being including in my drawing?



I know I can draw $C^3_{100} = 161.700$ different ways but the probability mentioned above I cannot compute?










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  • This looks a lot like a "homework" question but I am actually exploring a Scenario optimization model in which I need to compute these kinds of probabilites
    – k.dkhk
    Nov 22 at 18:16










  • If you cannot draw the 'certain element', then the favourable draws are $binom{99}{3}$.
    – Daniel
    Nov 22 at 18:27










  • This follows a simple case of a hypergeometric distribution where $K=1$ and $k=0$.
    – JMoravitz
    Nov 22 at 18:29















up vote
0
down vote

favorite












I randomly draw 3 elements from a population of 100. What is the probability of a certain element in my whole population NOT being including in my drawing?



I know I can draw $C^3_{100} = 161.700$ different ways but the probability mentioned above I cannot compute?










share|cite|improve this question






















  • This looks a lot like a "homework" question but I am actually exploring a Scenario optimization model in which I need to compute these kinds of probabilites
    – k.dkhk
    Nov 22 at 18:16










  • If you cannot draw the 'certain element', then the favourable draws are $binom{99}{3}$.
    – Daniel
    Nov 22 at 18:27










  • This follows a simple case of a hypergeometric distribution where $K=1$ and $k=0$.
    – JMoravitz
    Nov 22 at 18:29













up vote
0
down vote

favorite









up vote
0
down vote

favorite











I randomly draw 3 elements from a population of 100. What is the probability of a certain element in my whole population NOT being including in my drawing?



I know I can draw $C^3_{100} = 161.700$ different ways but the probability mentioned above I cannot compute?










share|cite|improve this question













I randomly draw 3 elements from a population of 100. What is the probability of a certain element in my whole population NOT being including in my drawing?



I know I can draw $C^3_{100} = 161.700$ different ways but the probability mentioned above I cannot compute?







probability






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asked Nov 22 at 18:14









k.dkhk

1628




1628












  • This looks a lot like a "homework" question but I am actually exploring a Scenario optimization model in which I need to compute these kinds of probabilites
    – k.dkhk
    Nov 22 at 18:16










  • If you cannot draw the 'certain element', then the favourable draws are $binom{99}{3}$.
    – Daniel
    Nov 22 at 18:27










  • This follows a simple case of a hypergeometric distribution where $K=1$ and $k=0$.
    – JMoravitz
    Nov 22 at 18:29


















  • This looks a lot like a "homework" question but I am actually exploring a Scenario optimization model in which I need to compute these kinds of probabilites
    – k.dkhk
    Nov 22 at 18:16










  • If you cannot draw the 'certain element', then the favourable draws are $binom{99}{3}$.
    – Daniel
    Nov 22 at 18:27










  • This follows a simple case of a hypergeometric distribution where $K=1$ and $k=0$.
    – JMoravitz
    Nov 22 at 18:29
















This looks a lot like a "homework" question but I am actually exploring a Scenario optimization model in which I need to compute these kinds of probabilites
– k.dkhk
Nov 22 at 18:16




This looks a lot like a "homework" question but I am actually exploring a Scenario optimization model in which I need to compute these kinds of probabilites
– k.dkhk
Nov 22 at 18:16












If you cannot draw the 'certain element', then the favourable draws are $binom{99}{3}$.
– Daniel
Nov 22 at 18:27




If you cannot draw the 'certain element', then the favourable draws are $binom{99}{3}$.
– Daniel
Nov 22 at 18:27












This follows a simple case of a hypergeometric distribution where $K=1$ and $k=0$.
– JMoravitz
Nov 22 at 18:29




This follows a simple case of a hypergeometric distribution where $K=1$ and $k=0$.
– JMoravitz
Nov 22 at 18:29










1 Answer
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P(a certain element is not in draw/sample)=$frac{{99choose3}}{{100choose3}}=frac{99times98times97}{100times99times98}=97/100.$






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    1 Answer
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    active

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    1 Answer
    1






    active

    oldest

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    active

    oldest

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    active

    oldest

    votes








    up vote
    0
    down vote



    accepted










    P(a certain element is not in draw/sample)=$frac{{99choose3}}{{100choose3}}=frac{99times98times97}{100times99times98}=97/100.$






    share|cite|improve this answer

























      up vote
      0
      down vote



      accepted










      P(a certain element is not in draw/sample)=$frac{{99choose3}}{{100choose3}}=frac{99times98times97}{100times99times98}=97/100.$






      share|cite|improve this answer























        up vote
        0
        down vote



        accepted







        up vote
        0
        down vote



        accepted






        P(a certain element is not in draw/sample)=$frac{{99choose3}}{{100choose3}}=frac{99times98times97}{100times99times98}=97/100.$






        share|cite|improve this answer












        P(a certain element is not in draw/sample)=$frac{{99choose3}}{{100choose3}}=frac{99times98times97}{100times99times98}=97/100.$







        share|cite|improve this answer












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        share|cite|improve this answer










        answered Nov 22 at 18:48









        John_Wick

        1,199111




        1,199111






























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