R-squared and variance relation












0












$begingroup$


According to Wiki:



https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fraction_of_variance_unexplained



$1 - R^2 = VAR_{err}/VAR_{tot}$



Where $VAR_{err} = sum_{i = 1}^N (y_i - hat{y}_i)^2$
is the variance of the residuals.



I don't see how this is correct, unless the residuals have mean zero. To see this, define the residuals:



$e_i = y_i - hat{y}_i$



The variance of the residuals is:



$sum_{i = 1}^N (e_i - bar{e}_i)^2 =
sum_{i = 1}^N (y_i - hat{y}_i - bar{e}_i)^2 $



Do you disagree or is Wikipedia wrong?










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$

















    0












    $begingroup$


    According to Wiki:



    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fraction_of_variance_unexplained



    $1 - R^2 = VAR_{err}/VAR_{tot}$



    Where $VAR_{err} = sum_{i = 1}^N (y_i - hat{y}_i)^2$
    is the variance of the residuals.



    I don't see how this is correct, unless the residuals have mean zero. To see this, define the residuals:



    $e_i = y_i - hat{y}_i$



    The variance of the residuals is:



    $sum_{i = 1}^N (e_i - bar{e}_i)^2 =
    sum_{i = 1}^N (y_i - hat{y}_i - bar{e}_i)^2 $



    Do you disagree or is Wikipedia wrong?










    share|cite|improve this question











    $endgroup$















      0












      0








      0





      $begingroup$


      According to Wiki:



      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fraction_of_variance_unexplained



      $1 - R^2 = VAR_{err}/VAR_{tot}$



      Where $VAR_{err} = sum_{i = 1}^N (y_i - hat{y}_i)^2$
      is the variance of the residuals.



      I don't see how this is correct, unless the residuals have mean zero. To see this, define the residuals:



      $e_i = y_i - hat{y}_i$



      The variance of the residuals is:



      $sum_{i = 1}^N (e_i - bar{e}_i)^2 =
      sum_{i = 1}^N (y_i - hat{y}_i - bar{e}_i)^2 $



      Do you disagree or is Wikipedia wrong?










      share|cite|improve this question











      $endgroup$




      According to Wiki:



      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fraction_of_variance_unexplained



      $1 - R^2 = VAR_{err}/VAR_{tot}$



      Where $VAR_{err} = sum_{i = 1}^N (y_i - hat{y}_i)^2$
      is the variance of the residuals.



      I don't see how this is correct, unless the residuals have mean zero. To see this, define the residuals:



      $e_i = y_i - hat{y}_i$



      The variance of the residuals is:



      $sum_{i = 1}^N (e_i - bar{e}_i)^2 =
      sum_{i = 1}^N (y_i - hat{y}_i - bar{e}_i)^2 $



      Do you disagree or is Wikipedia wrong?







      statistics regression






      share|cite|improve this question















      share|cite|improve this question













      share|cite|improve this question




      share|cite|improve this question








      edited Dec 9 '18 at 20:05









      Picaud Vincent

      1,49439




      1,49439










      asked Dec 9 '18 at 19:57









      hanshans

      11




      11






















          1 Answer
          1






          active

          oldest

          votes


















          0












          $begingroup$

          Note that in OLS regression with an intercept term, due to the "first order condition", when you take derivative w.r.t. $beta_0$ you have
          $$
          -2sum_{i=1}^n (y_i - hat{beta}_0 - hat{beta}_1x_{1i} - cdots hat{beta}_px_{pi}) = -2sum e_i =0,
          $$

          hence
          $$
          bar{e}_n = 0,
          $$

          thus
          $$
          hat{sigma}^2 = frac{1}{n}sum(e_i - bar{e})^2 = frac{sum e_i ^ 2}{n}.
          $$






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$













          • $begingroup$
            Thanks for the answer, but this not only hold for linear models? I think Wiki is wrong since it treats the more general case, but still imposes this assumption.
            $endgroup$
            – hans
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:13










          • $begingroup$
            @hans The residuals have zero mean for any model with an intercept term and least-squares estimation.
            $endgroup$
            – V. Vancak
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:58











          Your Answer





          StackExchange.ifUsing("editor", function () {
          return StackExchange.using("mathjaxEditing", function () {
          StackExchange.MarkdownEditor.creationCallbacks.add(function (editor, postfix) {
          StackExchange.mathjaxEditing.prepareWmdForMathJax(editor, postfix, [["$", "$"], ["\\(","\\)"]]);
          });
          });
          }, "mathjax-editing");

          StackExchange.ready(function() {
          var channelOptions = {
          tags: "".split(" "),
          id: "69"
          };
          initTagRenderer("".split(" "), "".split(" "), channelOptions);

          StackExchange.using("externalEditor", function() {
          // Have to fire editor after snippets, if snippets enabled
          if (StackExchange.settings.snippets.snippetsEnabled) {
          StackExchange.using("snippets", function() {
          createEditor();
          });
          }
          else {
          createEditor();
          }
          });

          function createEditor() {
          StackExchange.prepareEditor({
          heartbeatType: 'answer',
          autoActivateHeartbeat: false,
          convertImagesToLinks: true,
          noModals: true,
          showLowRepImageUploadWarning: true,
          reputationToPostImages: 10,
          bindNavPrevention: true,
          postfix: "",
          imageUploader: {
          brandingHtml: "Powered by u003ca class="icon-imgur-white" href="https://imgur.com/"u003eu003c/au003e",
          contentPolicyHtml: "User contributions licensed under u003ca href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/"u003ecc by-sa 3.0 with attribution requiredu003c/au003e u003ca href="https://stackoverflow.com/legal/content-policy"u003e(content policy)u003c/au003e",
          allowUrls: true
          },
          noCode: true, onDemand: true,
          discardSelector: ".discard-answer"
          ,immediatelyShowMarkdownHelp:true
          });


          }
          });














          draft saved

          draft discarded


















          StackExchange.ready(
          function () {
          StackExchange.openid.initPostLogin('.new-post-login', 'https%3a%2f%2fmath.stackexchange.com%2fquestions%2f3032894%2fr-squared-and-variance-relation%23new-answer', 'question_page');
          }
          );

          Post as a guest















          Required, but never shown

























          1 Answer
          1






          active

          oldest

          votes








          1 Answer
          1






          active

          oldest

          votes









          active

          oldest

          votes






          active

          oldest

          votes









          0












          $begingroup$

          Note that in OLS regression with an intercept term, due to the "first order condition", when you take derivative w.r.t. $beta_0$ you have
          $$
          -2sum_{i=1}^n (y_i - hat{beta}_0 - hat{beta}_1x_{1i} - cdots hat{beta}_px_{pi}) = -2sum e_i =0,
          $$

          hence
          $$
          bar{e}_n = 0,
          $$

          thus
          $$
          hat{sigma}^2 = frac{1}{n}sum(e_i - bar{e})^2 = frac{sum e_i ^ 2}{n}.
          $$






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$













          • $begingroup$
            Thanks for the answer, but this not only hold for linear models? I think Wiki is wrong since it treats the more general case, but still imposes this assumption.
            $endgroup$
            – hans
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:13










          • $begingroup$
            @hans The residuals have zero mean for any model with an intercept term and least-squares estimation.
            $endgroup$
            – V. Vancak
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:58
















          0












          $begingroup$

          Note that in OLS regression with an intercept term, due to the "first order condition", when you take derivative w.r.t. $beta_0$ you have
          $$
          -2sum_{i=1}^n (y_i - hat{beta}_0 - hat{beta}_1x_{1i} - cdots hat{beta}_px_{pi}) = -2sum e_i =0,
          $$

          hence
          $$
          bar{e}_n = 0,
          $$

          thus
          $$
          hat{sigma}^2 = frac{1}{n}sum(e_i - bar{e})^2 = frac{sum e_i ^ 2}{n}.
          $$






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$













          • $begingroup$
            Thanks for the answer, but this not only hold for linear models? I think Wiki is wrong since it treats the more general case, but still imposes this assumption.
            $endgroup$
            – hans
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:13










          • $begingroup$
            @hans The residuals have zero mean for any model with an intercept term and least-squares estimation.
            $endgroup$
            – V. Vancak
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:58














          0












          0








          0





          $begingroup$

          Note that in OLS regression with an intercept term, due to the "first order condition", when you take derivative w.r.t. $beta_0$ you have
          $$
          -2sum_{i=1}^n (y_i - hat{beta}_0 - hat{beta}_1x_{1i} - cdots hat{beta}_px_{pi}) = -2sum e_i =0,
          $$

          hence
          $$
          bar{e}_n = 0,
          $$

          thus
          $$
          hat{sigma}^2 = frac{1}{n}sum(e_i - bar{e})^2 = frac{sum e_i ^ 2}{n}.
          $$






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$



          Note that in OLS regression with an intercept term, due to the "first order condition", when you take derivative w.r.t. $beta_0$ you have
          $$
          -2sum_{i=1}^n (y_i - hat{beta}_0 - hat{beta}_1x_{1i} - cdots hat{beta}_px_{pi}) = -2sum e_i =0,
          $$

          hence
          $$
          bar{e}_n = 0,
          $$

          thus
          $$
          hat{sigma}^2 = frac{1}{n}sum(e_i - bar{e})^2 = frac{sum e_i ^ 2}{n}.
          $$







          share|cite|improve this answer












          share|cite|improve this answer



          share|cite|improve this answer










          answered Dec 10 '18 at 21:23









          V. VancakV. Vancak

          11k2926




          11k2926












          • $begingroup$
            Thanks for the answer, but this not only hold for linear models? I think Wiki is wrong since it treats the more general case, but still imposes this assumption.
            $endgroup$
            – hans
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:13










          • $begingroup$
            @hans The residuals have zero mean for any model with an intercept term and least-squares estimation.
            $endgroup$
            – V. Vancak
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:58


















          • $begingroup$
            Thanks for the answer, but this not only hold for linear models? I think Wiki is wrong since it treats the more general case, but still imposes this assumption.
            $endgroup$
            – hans
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:13










          • $begingroup$
            @hans The residuals have zero mean for any model with an intercept term and least-squares estimation.
            $endgroup$
            – V. Vancak
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:58
















          $begingroup$
          Thanks for the answer, but this not only hold for linear models? I think Wiki is wrong since it treats the more general case, but still imposes this assumption.
          $endgroup$
          – hans
          Dec 25 '18 at 9:13




          $begingroup$
          Thanks for the answer, but this not only hold for linear models? I think Wiki is wrong since it treats the more general case, but still imposes this assumption.
          $endgroup$
          – hans
          Dec 25 '18 at 9:13












          $begingroup$
          @hans The residuals have zero mean for any model with an intercept term and least-squares estimation.
          $endgroup$
          – V. Vancak
          Dec 25 '18 at 9:58




          $begingroup$
          @hans The residuals have zero mean for any model with an intercept term and least-squares estimation.
          $endgroup$
          – V. Vancak
          Dec 25 '18 at 9:58


















          draft saved

          draft discarded




















































          Thanks for contributing an answer to Mathematics Stack Exchange!


          • Please be sure to answer the question. Provide details and share your research!

          But avoid



          • Asking for help, clarification, or responding to other answers.

          • Making statements based on opinion; back them up with references or personal experience.


          Use MathJax to format equations. MathJax reference.


          To learn more, see our tips on writing great answers.




          draft saved


          draft discarded














          StackExchange.ready(
          function () {
          StackExchange.openid.initPostLogin('.new-post-login', 'https%3a%2f%2fmath.stackexchange.com%2fquestions%2f3032894%2fr-squared-and-variance-relation%23new-answer', 'question_page');
          }
          );

          Post as a guest















          Required, but never shown





















































          Required, but never shown














          Required, but never shown












          Required, but never shown







          Required, but never shown

































          Required, but never shown














          Required, but never shown












          Required, but never shown







          Required, but never shown







          Popular posts from this blog

          Quarter-circle Tiles

          build a pushdown automaton that recognizes the reverse language of a given pushdown automaton?

          Mont Emei